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triots cut Brady after this season

  • 06 Aug
    导出博客文章POCATELLO, Idaho -- Keaton Studsrud threw two touchdown passes and ran for
    another to help North Dakota get past an Idaho State upset bid, 28-21, on
    Saturday.Tied at 14 at intermission, North Dakota (6-2, 5-0 Big Sky) went 78
    yards on 15 plays, culminating with Brady Oliveiras 4-yard run, to take a 21-14
    lead. Studsruds 17-yard touchdown pass to Josh Seibel at the start of the fourth
    made it a two-score game.Idaho State (2-5, 1-3) made it 28-21 with 1:23 left on
    Tanner Guellers 17-yard touchdown pass to Kw Williams -- his second of the day
    -- but North Dakota recovered the onside kick and ran out the clock.Studsrud
    completed 12 of 20 attempts for 173 yards. John Santiago had 101 yards on 18
    carries and Oliveira finished with 46 yards on 16 carries.Gueller went 26 of 49
    for 220 yards and three touchdowns and added 32 yards rushing for the Bengals.
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    .J. Ellis hit two-run homers and the NL West champion Los Angeles Dodgers
    defeated the San Diego Padres 4-0 Saturday night.
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    contract that avoided salary arbitration. Plouffe batted .254 with 14 home runs
    and 52 RBIs in 477 at-bats last season, his second as a regular in the lineup.
    http://www.fakevans.com/ .J. Ellis hit
    two-run homers and the NL West champion Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San
    Diego Padres 4-0 Saturday night.
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    Open champion Justin Rose birdied the first hole with a blind shot he hit to a
    foot of the pin, and he stayed in front Tuesday until he completed a 4-under 67
    for a two-shot lead over Jason Dufner in PGA Grand Slam of Golf.
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    The Vikings announced Thursday that Priefer will be one of seven holdovers from
    the previous staff, along with offensive line coach Jeff Davidson, wide
    receivers coach George Stewart and others. Norv Turner will mark his 30th year
    of coaching in the NFL as the offensive co-ordinator, as widely reported for
    weeks, and George Edwards will be the defensive co-ordinator. New England
    Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has been lighting up the NFL since returning from
    his early-season suspension, emerging as a top MVP candidate despite missing
    four games.The 39-year-old Brady ranks first overall in Total QBR, and has
    helped cast the Patriots in the role of most likely Super Bowl champion, at 32
    percent according to ESPNs Football Power Index. That said, the data says New
    England should be thinking very long and hard about looking elsewhere to fill
    the starting QB role next season.The Patriots, more than any other team, have
    made a habit of paying for likely future production and not past success. And
    though Bradys contract would make it difficult for them to merely part ways
    (more on that in a minute), at 39 years old they undoubtedly know whats coming
    for Brady.Two of the most dominant quarterbacks of the past 20 years -- Brett
    Favre and Peyton Manning -- are, in fact, useful examples to project Bradys
    performance in the next few seasons. Favre, Manning and Kurt Warner join Brady
    in a rare group of players that even make it to this stage. Average quarterbacks
    rarely get a chance to continue to play past their mid-30s; once they show signs
    of decline, theyre replaced. What remains are the Favres, Peytons and Warners
    (and even Warner stepped away at the age of 38) of the NFL, great quarterbacks
    who can continue to rely on their ability to run an offense and take advantage
    of defenses, even as their deep throws lose a little of their zip. But even the
    greats will eventually fall, as the numbers demonstrate.Bradys performance at
    age 38 and up to his current age of 39.5 mirrors that of Manning at the same
    age. Brady has posted an average QBR of 70 during those years -- Mannings was
    69. After age 39.5, however, Mannings performance declined sharply. For all of
    his games after the age of 39.5, he posted an average QBR of 49. The decline was
    part of a broader, ominous trend for Brady and older QBs.ESPN senior analytics
    specialist Brian Burke detailed this drop-off in a study for Advanced Football
    Analytics.All QBs who played when tthey were 38 years old had QBRs above 70 in
    between 50 and 70 percent of their games.ddddddddddddBy age 40, their chance of
    posting a QBR above 70 drops to below 5 percent. This is the range Brady will be
    in at the start of the 2017 season.Availability becomes a major issue as
    well.Again, looking at the group of QBs who were playing at the ages of 39 and
    39.5, this group has a 71 percent chance of playing at least 10 more games. Once
    they get past 40 (where Brady will be when the 2017 season starts), that
    percentage drops by half. Only 35 percent who are playing past the age of 39.5
    will play 10 or more games.Given the Patriots history of shedding iconic players
    (Lawyer Milloy, Logan Mankins, Randy Moss and Richard Seymour, to name a few),
    it shouldnt be a surprise if Brady is next on the chopping block, though his
    contract could give New England some pause. The Patriots tend to release or
    trade players at or near the end of their contracts so there is minimal, if any,
    dead money on the salary cap. But remember that Brady signed a new contract
    during this past offseason that included a $28 million bonus. By NFL cap rules,
    if the Patriots cut Brady after this season, they would carry a cap charge of
    $27 million -- nearly twice the price tag for keeping him ($14 million).That
    reality means, should Bradys performance decline as the data nearly guarantees
    it will, Patriots coach Bill Belichick could find himself in the difficult
    position of benching Brady for a younger arm. While Belichick has never been
    accused of being overly emotional about his roster decisions, there should be
    little doubt that the notion of benching Brady would be an especially delicate
    situation for the organization and its fan base.Whatever they decide, there is
    no reason to believe that Brady has the ability to beat the overwhelming trend
    of aging QBs. Father Time, as they say, is undefeated.For more from ESPN
    Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.? ' ' '